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English text: Armenia-France partnership - de facto strategic since at least 2024, to be formalized during President Macron's visit to Armenia on 4-5 May

France–Armenia: Toward the Formalization of a Strategic Partnership


Since the 2020 war and the subsequent deterioration of Armenia–Russia security relations, Armenia’s foreign policy has undergone a profound transformation. Moving away from a model rooted in structural dependence, Armenia has progressively adopted a strategy of diversified partnerships across multiple geopolitical spaces. This shift reflects both changes in the regional security environment and a deliberate effort to strengthen strategic autonomy in an increasingly fragmented international order.

Within this evolving framework, France has emerged as one of Armenia’s most consequential partners. Although not yet fully institutionalized, the relationship already exhibits the characteristics of a strategic partnership. Its formalization—expected in the near future—would therefore codify an existing reality rather than create a new one.

French President Emmanuel Macron is expected to visit Yerevan on 4–5 May for the European Political Community summit—an initiative he launched to strengthen political coordination across the continent. Hosting this meeting marks an important milestone in Armenia’s deepening engagement with Europe, reinforcing its political visibility and credibility as a partner of the European Union. It also provides a timely opportunity to formalize the Armenia–France strategic partnership, elevating an already substantive relationship to a more structured and institutionalized framework.


Recalibrating Armenia’s Security and Foreign Policy Strategy


For decades, Armenia relied heavily on Russia as its primary security guarantor while maintaining more limited engagement with other actors. The erosion of these guarantees after the 2020 war, combined with Azerbaijan’s growing military superiority and increasingly coercive diplomacy, exposed the structural vulnerabilities of this model.

Since 2022, Armenia has gradually transitioned toward a diversified foreign policy approach, formally articulated in 2025 as a “balanced and balancing” strategy. This shift has led to the development of multiple partnerships across Western, regional, and Asian contexts, including with France, the European Union, the United States, Iran, India, China, and others.

Rather than replacing one dominant partner with another, Armenia seeks to expand its diplomatic and strategic options. This approach reflects a broader trend among small states navigating intensifying great-power competition: preserving maneuverability by avoiding exclusive alignments.


Multi-Alignment as Strategy

Armenia’s evolving foreign policy increasingly resembles a strategy of multi-alignment. Unlike earlier notions of multi-vector diplomacy, which often involved balancing between competing powers while remaining anchored in a dominant security framework, multi-alignment entails the deliberate construction of parallel partnerships across political, economic, technological, and security domains.

This approach differs both from a geopolitical pivot and from classical hedging. Armenia is neither shifting decisively toward a single bloc nor maintaining ambiguity to avoid commitment. Instead, it is actively building a network of differentiated partnerships designed to reduce dependency, enhance resilience, and expand strategic autonomy.

In this context, not all partnerships carry equal weight. Some are formally labeled “strategic” but remain limited in substance, while others—less institutionalized—have acquired significant practical importance. France clearly belongs to the latter category.


France: A De Facto Strategic Partner

France has become one of Armenia’s most significant bilateral partners, combining political support, security cooperation, economic engagement, and societal ties. The depth and multidimensional nature of this relationship already place it among Armenia’s core partnerships, despite the absence of a fully formalized framework.

Politically, France has been among the most consistent international supporters of Armenia’s sovereignty and territorial integrity. It has played a visible role in international fora, including the United Nations Security Council and within the European Union, where it has often advocated stronger engagement with Armenia, particularly in response to security crises.

While formally upholding the principle of territorial integrity for both Armenia and Azerbaijan, Paris adopted a more vocal stance than many of its partners regarding the rights and security of Armenians in Nagorno-Karabakh. Between 2020 and 2023, it was among the most active actors in raising both Azerbaijan’s military offensives and blockade in Nagorno-Karabakh, as well as its incursions into Armenia’s sovereign territory, at the UN level and in pushing for stronger European responses.

At the bilateral level, relations have evolved from historical affinity and cultural ties into a structured and increasingly institutionalized partnership. This evolution has been reinforced by high-level political engagement, regular diplomatic consultations, and growing alignment on key regional issues.

France has emerged as Armenia’s second most significant defense partner after India, with cooperation developing rapidly since 2023 across armament supplies, training, and institutional support. This engagement has included the delivery of Bastion armored personnel carriers, GM200 air-surveillance radars, and CAESAR self-propelled artillery systems, alongside training programs and officer education initiatives. Notably, France became the first EU and NATO member state to supply military equipment to Armenia despite its formal membership in the CSTO, effectively breaking a longstanding political taboo. Defense cooperation has thus become an essential component of the relationship, though it should be understood in broader strategic terms rather than solely through the lens of military assistance.

Beyond the security dimension, the France–Armenia partnership has expanded significantly across economic, technological, and infrastructural domains. A central pillar of France’s long-term engagement is the presence of Veolia, which has operated Armenia’s unified water and wastewater system since 2017 under a nationwide lease contract. This represents one of the most structurally significant foreign investments in Armenia, embedding French expertise in a critical public service sector.

This structural presence is complemented by development financing through the Agence Française de Développement (AFD), whose projects span water infrastructure, energy efficiency, public finance, and private sector development. The Vedi reservoir stands out as a flagship initiative, contributing to irrigation and agricultural productivity. French support has also expanded into urban infrastructure, municipal services, and financial sector development through Proparco.

An increasingly important geographic focus of French engagement is Armenia’s southern Syunik region. In June 2025, France opened an honorary consulate in Goris, marking its first diplomatic presence in southern Armenia and signaling a clear political commitment to the region. This move coincided with the Armenia–France Decentralized Cooperation Conference held in Syunik, advancing cooperation in infrastructure, energy, and territorial development.

A further step in structuring the private-sector dimension of the partnership was the February 2026 Memorandum of Understanding between Enterprise Armenia and MEDEF International, aimed at strengthening direct business engagement and facilitating investment flows.

Innovation and technology have emerged as another key pillar of cooperation. In February 2025, Armenia signed a cooperation agreement with Mistral AI to develop AI infrastructure, support AI-driven businesses, and modernize public administration.

Potential cooperation in the field of nuclear energy is also being explored as part of the bilateral agenda, although no specific projects or agreements have been defined at this stage.

At the societal level, longstanding educational, cultural, and diaspora ties continue to reinforce the relationship. Armenia’s engagement within the Organisation internationale de la Francophonie further strengthens this dimension.


France as a Driver of Armenia–EU Relations

France has been instrumental in advancing Armenia’s relations with the European Union, acting as both a political advocate and a key shaping force within EU policymaking. It has consistently supported deeper EU engagement across governance reform, economic integration, and security cooperation, while promoting a more strategic European presence in the South Caucasus.

This role is evident in the EU’s evolving security engagement. The deployment of the European Union Mission in Armenia (EUMA), supported by France, marked a shift toward a limited but tangible EU presence on the ground. France has also backed the use of instruments such as the European Peace Facility to strengthen Armenia’s resilience, alongside broader cooperation on hybrid threats and institutional capacity-building.

At the same time, Armenia has become more proactive in shaping its trajectory toward Europe. The articulation of EU integration aspirations since 2025 reflects both external support and the backing of a large portion of the Armenian public. The adoption of the EU–Armenia Strategic Agenda in December 2025 further consolidated this trajectory, providing a structured framework for cooperation across political, economic, and security domains.

France’s role has not been without complexity. Until late 2024, it remained cautious regarding the launch of visa liberalisation, reflecting concerns over migration and asylum. As Armenia advanced reforms and political relations deepened, these concerns were addressed, and France shifted to support the process, which is now underway.


Public Perceptions and Narrative Contestation

Domestically, perceptions of the France–Armenia partnership are at times polarized. Some pro-Western voices present France as a potential security guarantor, raising expectations that exceed the actual scope of the relationship. However, both the Armenian government and the majority of policy experts maintain a more realistic assessment, viewing France as a key partner in strengthening Armenia’s sovereignty and resilience rather than as a substitute for formal security guarantees.

At the same time, elements within pro-Russian or Euro-sceptic diaspora circles in both France and Armenia have advanced a different narrative. They attribute responsibility for the loss of Nagorno-Karabakh to European actors, while simultaneously constructing and dismissing the notion of France as a “savior.” These interpretations overlook Russia’s role, including the failure of its peacekeeping mission and its recognition of Nagorno-Karabakh as part of Azerbaijan, as well as its failure to fulfill its obligations to Armenia. They also ignore that it was France—not Russia—that consistently raised these issues in the United Nations Security Council.

Externally, Azerbaijan and, in parallel, Russia have targeted the partnership through coordinated information campaigns, particularly focusing on French defense cooperation. These narratives portray French engagement as destabilizing, while ignoring Azerbaijan’s use of military coercion and its clear military superiority. Azerbaijan has also conducted a broader hybrid campaign against France, including the manipulation of anti-colonial narratives in New Caledonia, Mayotte, and parts of Sub-Saharan Africa, as well as through multilateral platforms such as the Non-Aligned Movement and COP processes.


France in Armenia’s Diversified Partnership System

At the same time, France’s approach aligns with Armenia’s broader multi-alignment strategy and does not require exclusivity. It can therefore coexist with Armenia’s expanding network of partnerships across multiple geopolitical spaces. Alongside France and the EU strategic agenda, Armenia is advancing relations with EU countries through a layered approach: partnerships with the Netherlands and Germany are already formalized, while those with Poland, Greece, and Cyprus are being elevated. In the wider European context, Armenia has also formalized a strategic partnership with the United Kingdom.

Beyond Europe, Armenia has established a key strategic partnership with the United States. Regionally, Georgia remains a formal partner, while relations with Iran—though intended to be elevated—are complicated by the ongoing war. Further east, Armenia has strengthened ties with India—its primary defense partner—while its partnership with China remains largely economic in nature. Armenia has also recently formalized a strategic partnership with Kazakhstan.


Conclusion

Armenia’s evolving foreign policy reflects a broader shift toward diversification and strategic flexibility in response to a more contested and fragmented international environment. Within this framework, France has emerged as a central partner whose engagement directly contributes to strengthening Armenia’s sovereignty, agency, and deterrence, while supporting its economic development and institutional resilience. Its role extends beyond bilateral cooperation to shaping Armenia’s broader European trajectory. The formalization of a strategic partnership would not introduce a new dynamic but would consolidate an already established reality, providing greater structure and strategic depth to a relationship that has become a key pillar of Armenia’s multi-alignment strategy.